Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 2.072774 2.518842 3.022557 3.631152 4.344052 5.150098 6.127733
2025-04-20 1.504799 2.083183 2.810445 3.782073 5.034825 6.583213 8.627608
2025-04-27 1.143402 1.771510 2.636792 3.893018 5.642797 7.962295 11.231388
2025-05-04 0.925756 1.582217 2.560292 4.082897 6.342660 9.511923 14.215635
2025-05-11 0.723141 1.356813 2.372918 4.059484 6.710045 10.618037 16.686368
2025-05-18 0.550508 1.131810 2.132533 3.897735 6.823938 11.341110 18.648879
2025-05-25 0.417229 0.938559 1.900060 3.697325 6.829592 11.874697 20.348222
2025-06-01 0.340198 0.830135 1.791021 3.680899 7.120261 12.864671 22.823253
2025-06-08 0.284078 0.748892 1.714628 3.705532 7.474701 13.979479 25.580340
2025-06-15 0.235350 0.670196 1.626539 3.690347 7.748570 14.973612 28.207898
2025-06-22 0.182539 0.566168 1.463973 3.499304 7.666318 15.332222 29.771371
2025-06-29 0.151883 0.508454 1.389951 3.475791 7.896855 16.260143 32.388390
2025-07-06 0.125049 0.453669 1.313703 3.440205 8.108794 17.191455 35.123833
2025-07-13 0.114365 0.442577 1.341267 3.641251 8.830427 19.146184 39.882954
2025-07-20 0.101594 0.420977 1.337898 3.769836 9.412704 20.880055 44.356349
2025-07-27 0.092909 0.409942 1.360119 3.962471 10.153520 22.982506 49.672003
2025-08-03 0.078044 0.371993 1.300244 3.942527 10.418459 24.150778 53.265138
2025-08-10 0.061842 0.322114 1.194142 3.785858 10.350691 24.628719 55.532017
2025-08-17 0.047896 0.274296 1.081587 3.590835 10.165570 24.838882 57.268784
2025-08-24 0.040322 0.250020 1.037202 3.574945 10.408462 25.977762 60.965724
2025-08-31 0.034660 0.231813 1.008531 3.599002 10.752328 27.361639 65.257513
2025-09-07 0.029243 0.211933 0.968992 3.584215 10.994983 28.537552 69.184460
2025-09-14 0.022487 0.180581 0.878711 3.397997 10.767633 28.629410 70.798771